Australian Grand Prix
Melbourne, AustraliaMelbourneFull prediction →Long-run pace · Practice 2 (top 10)iMean of the middle 60% of each driver's clean practice laps — strips push laps and outliers to approximate true race pace.
- 1
ANT1:24.178—12 lapsbest 1:19.943 - 2
VER1:24.300+0.122s5 lapsbest 1:20.366 - 3
RUS1:25.091+0.913s12 lapsbest 1:20.049 - 4
NOR1:25.367+1.189s12 lapsbest 1:20.794 - 5
PIA1:25.925+1.747s9 lapsbest 1:19.729 - 6
HUL1:26.788+2.610s15 lapsbest 1:21.351 - 7
BOR1:26.940+2.762s9 lapsbest 1:21.668 - 8
LAW1:27.920+3.742s12 lapsbest 1:21.358 - 9
OCO1:28.238+4.060s11 lapsbest 1:21.179 - 10
LIN1:28.668+4.490s13 lapsbest 1:20.922
Win probabilityiPredicted win probability from the v0.3.0 model — Plackett-Luce sample over driver strength composites.
- 1VER36.2%
- 2RUS18.0%
- 3PIA6.9%
- 4ANT5.8%
- 5
HAD5.7% - 6LAW4.2%
Qualifying low-fuel simulationiApproximation of true qualifying pace: fastest single lap per driver in Q (low fuel by definition).
- 1RUS1:18.518—
- 2ANT1:18.811+0.293s
- 3HAD1:19.303+0.785s
- 4
LEC1:19.327+0.809s - 5PIA1:19.380+0.862s
- 6NOR1:19.475+0.957s
- 7
HAM1:19.478+0.960s - 8LIN1:19.971+1.453s
- 9LAW1:19.994+1.476s
- 10BOR1:20.221+1.703s
Historical winnersiWinners of this round across the last 5 seasons (if available).
- 1RUSGeorge Russell1:18.518
- 2ANTKimi Antonelli1:18.811
- 3HADIsack Hadjar1:19.303
- 4LECCharles Leclerc1:19.327
- 5PIAOscar Piastri1:19.380
- 6NORLando Norris1:19.475
- 7HAMLewis Hamilton1:19.478
- 8LAWLiam Lawson1:19.994
Final classificationiRace result with grid → finish delta (positions gained/lost), pit-stop count, longest stint, and the fastest-lap holder (FL badge).
| P | Driver | Team | Grid | Δ | Time / Gap | Pits | Longest | Fastest lap | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RUSGeorge Russell |  Mercedes | 1 | 0 | 83:06.801 | 1 | 46L | 1:22.670 | 25 |
| 2 |  ANTKimi Antonelli | Mercedes | 2 | 0 | 0:02.974 | 1 | 46L | 1:22.417 | 18 |
| 3 |  LECCharles Leclerc |  Ferrari | 4 | +1 | 0:15.519 | 1 | 33L | 1:22.579 | 15 |
| 4 |  HAMLewis Hamilton | Ferrari | 7 | +3 | 0:16.144 | 1 | 30L | 1:22.423 | 12 |
| 5 |  NORLando Norris |  McLaren | 6 | +1 | 0:51.741 | 2 | 24L | 1:22.358 | 10 |
| 6 |  VERMax Verstappen |  Red Bull Racing | 20 | +14 | 0:54.617 | 2 | 23L | 1:22.091FL | 8 |
| 7 |  BEAOliver Bearman |  Haas F1 Team | 12 | +5 | 0:04.593 | 1 | 39L | 1:24.020 | 6 |
| 8 |  LINArvid Lindblad |  Racing Bulls | 9 | +1 | 0:11.816 | 1 | 39L | 1:24.182 | 4 |
| 9 |  BORGabriel Bortoleto |  Audi | 10 | +1 | 0:12.775 | 2 | 24L | 1:23.257 | 2 |
| 10 |  GASPierre Gasly |  Alpine | 14 | +4 | 0:29.027 | 1 | 46L | 1:24.486 | 1 |
| 11 |  OCOEsteban Ocon | Haas F1 Team | 13 | +2 | 0:29.850 | 1 | 46L | 1:24.424 | 0 |
| 12 |  ALBAlexander Albon |  Williams | 15 | +3 | 0:56.075 | 2 | 24L | 1:24.375 | 0 |
| 13 |  LAWLiam Lawson | Racing Bulls | 8 | -5 | 0:57.173 | 2 | 24L | 1:23.783 | 0 |
| 14 |  COLFranco Colapinto | Alpine | 16 | +2 | 0:08.487 | 2 | 37L | 1:22.926 | 0 |
| 15 |  SAICarlos Sainz | Williams | 21 | +6 | 0:36.886 | 3 | 22L | 1:23.590 | 0 |
| 16 |  PERSergio Perez |  Cadillac | 18 | +2 | 0:07.850 | 2 | 25L | 1:26.070 | 0 |
| R |  STRLance Stroll |  Aston Martin | 22 | +5 | Lapped | 4 | 15L | 1:25.410 | 0 |
| R |  ALOFernando Alonso | Aston Martin | 17 | -1 | Retired | 2 | 11L | 1:25.713 | 0 |
| R |  BOTValtteri Bottas | Cadillac | 19 | 0 | Retired | 1 | 12L | 1:27.364 | 0 |
| R |  HADIsack Hadjar | Red Bull Racing | 3 | -17 | Retired | 0 | 11L | 1:25.239 | 0 |
| W |  PIAOscar Piastri | McLaren | 5 | -16 | Did not start | — | — | — | 0 |
| W |  HULNico Hulkenberg | Audi | 11 | -11 | Did not start | — | — | — | 0 |