Chinese Grand Prix
Shanghai, ChinaShanghaiFull prediction →Long-run pace · Practice 1 (top 10)iMean of the middle 60% of each driver's clean practice laps — strips push laps and outliers to approximate true race pace.
- 1
GAS1:38.302—9 lapsbest 1:34.676 - 2
RUS1:39.118+0.817s13 lapsbest 1:32.741 - 3
LAW1:39.457+1.156s10 lapsbest 1:34.773 - 4
ANT1:39.539+1.237s13 lapsbest 1:32.861 - 5
COL1:39.835+1.533s9 lapsbest 1:34.947 - 6
HAD1:41.763+3.462s12 lapsbest 1:34.856 - 7
PER1:41.979+3.677s5 lapsbest 1:39.200 - 8
OCO1:42.006+3.704s9 lapsbest 1:34.877 - 9
BEA1:42.533+4.232s11 lapsbest 1:34.426 - 10
PIA1:42.603+4.301s13 lapsbest 1:33.472
Win probabilityiPredicted win probability from the v0.3.0 model — Plackett-Luce sample over driver strength composites.
- 1ANT22.4%
- 2RUS21.0%
- 3
LEC9.6% - 4GAS8.9%
- 5HAD7.3%
- 6
HAM5.6%
Qualifying low-fuel simulationiApproximation of true qualifying pace: fastest single lap per driver in Q (low fuel by definition).
- 1ANT1:32.064—
- 2RUS1:32.286+0.222s
- 3HAM1:32.415+0.351s
- 4LEC1:32.428+0.364s
- 5PIA1:32.550+0.486s
- 6
NOR1:32.608+0.544s - 7GAS1:32.873+0.809s
- 8
VER1:33.002+0.938s - 9HAD1:33.121+1.057s
- 10BEA1:33.197+1.133s
Sprint summaryiSprint race classification — points, gap, status.
- 1RUSGeorge Russell8 pts33:38.998
- 2LECCharles Leclerc7 pts0:00.674
- 3HAMLewis Hamilton6 pts0:02.554
- 4NORLando Norris5 pts0:04.433
- 5ANTKimi Antonelli4 pts0:05.688
- 6PIAOscar Piastri3 pts0:06.809
- 7LAWLiam Lawson2 pts0:10.900
- 8BEAOliver Bearman1 pts0:11.271
Final classificationiRace result with grid → finish delta (positions gained/lost), pit-stop count, longest stint, and the fastest-lap holder (FL badge).
| P | Driver | Team | Grid | Δ | Time / Gap | Pits | Longest | Fastest lap | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ANTKimi Antonelli |  Mercedes | 1 | 0 | 93:15.607 | 1 | 46L | 1:35.275FL | 25 |
| 2 |  RUSGeorge Russell | Mercedes | 2 | 0 | 0:05.515 | 1 | 46L | 1:35.400 | 18 |
| 3 |  HAMLewis Hamilton |  Ferrari | 3 | 0 | 0:25.267 | 1 | 46L | 1:36.092 | 15 |
| 4 |  LECCharles Leclerc | Ferrari | 4 | 0 | 0:28.894 | 1 | 46L | 1:36.011 | 12 |
| 5 |  BEAOliver Bearman |  Haas F1 Team | 10 | +5 | 0:57.268 | 1 | 46L | 1:36.429 | 10 |
| 6 |  GASPierre Gasly |  Alpine | 7 | +1 | 0:59.647 | 1 | 46L | 1:36.505 | 8 |
| 7 |  LAWLiam Lawson |  Racing Bulls | 14 | +7 | 1:20.588 | 1 | 47L | 1:37.096 | 6 |
| 8 |  HADIsack Hadjar |  Red Bull Racing | 9 | +1 | 1:27.247 | 2 | 46L | 1:37.311 | 4 |
| 9 |  SAICarlos Sainz |  Williams | 17 | +8 | 0:11.673 | 1 | 46L | 1:37.981 | 2 |
| 10 |  COLFranco Colapinto | Alpine | 12 | +2 | 0:12.403 | 1 | 32L | 1:36.783 | 1 |
| 11 |  HULNico Hulkenberg |  Audi | 11 | 0 | 0:21.109 | 1 | 35L | 1:36.180 | 0 |
| 12 |  LINArvid Lindblad | Racing Bulls | 15 | +3 | 0:22.828 | 1 | 42L | 1:36.099 | 0 |
| 13 |  BOTValtteri Bottas |  Cadillac | 19 | +6 | 0:56.158 | 1 | 45L | 1:38.393 | 0 |
| 14 |  OCOEsteban Ocon | Haas F1 Team | 13 | -1 | 1:06.256 | 2 | 29L | 1:35.964 | 0 |
| 15 |  PERSergio Perez | Cadillac | 21 | +6 | 1:14.641 | 1 | 44L | 1:38.523 | 0 |
| R |  VERMax Verstappen | Red Bull Racing | 8 | -8 | Retired | 1 | 36L | 1:37.046 | 0 |
| R |  ALOFernando Alonso |  Aston Martin | 18 | +1 | Retired | 1 | 31L | 1:39.721 | 0 |
| R |  STRLance Stroll | Aston Martin | 20 | +2 | Retired | 0 | 10L | 1:40.883 | 0 |
| W |  PIAOscar Piastri |  McLaren | 5 | -14 | Did not start | — | — | — | 0 |
| W |  NORLando Norris | McLaren | 6 | -14 | Did not start | — | — | — | 0 |
| W |  BORGabriel Bortoleto | Audi | 16 | -5 | Did not start | — | — | — | 0 |
| W |  ALBAlexander Albon | Williams | 22 | 0 | Did not start | — | — | — | 0 |