Japanese Grand Prix
Suzuka, JapanSuzukaFull prediction →Long-run pace · Practice 2 (top 10)iMean of the middle 60% of each driver's clean practice laps — strips push laps and outliers to approximate true race pace.
- 1
RUS1:34.235—9 lapsbest 1:30.338 - 2
ANT1:34.867+0.632s10 lapsbest 1:30.225 - 3
BEA1:35.842+1.607s12 lapsbest 1:31.498 - 4
OCO1:36.139+1.904s13 lapsbest 1:31.532 - 5
HAD1:36.379+2.145s12 lapsbest 1:31.759 - 6
VER1:36.519+2.284s12 lapsbest 1:31.509 - 7
LEC1:36.669+2.434s12 lapsbest 1:30.846 - 8
HAM1:36.781+2.547s9 lapsbest 1:30.980 - 9
PIA1:37.313+3.078s12 lapsbest 1:30.133 - 10
HUL1:37.340+3.105s12 lapsbest 1:31.441
Win probabilityiPredicted win probability from the v0.3.0 model — Plackett-Luce sample over driver strength composites.
- 1RUS26.4%
- 2ANT17.5%
- 3LEC14.4%
- 4VER7.0%
- 5HAM6.1%
- 6
GAS5.6%
Qualifying low-fuel simulationiApproximation of true qualifying pace: fastest single lap per driver in Q (low fuel by definition).
- 1ANT1:28.778—
- 2RUS1:29.076+0.298s
- 3PIA1:29.132+0.354s
- 4LEC1:29.303+0.525s
- 5
NOR1:29.409+0.631s - 6HAM1:29.567+0.789s
- 7GAS1:29.691+0.913s
- 8HAD1:29.978+1.200s
- 9
BOR1:29.990+1.212s - 10
LIN1:30.109+1.331s
Historical winnersiWinners of this round across the last 5 seasons (if available).
- 1ANTKimi Antonelli1:28.778
- 2RUSGeorge Russell1:29.076
- 3PIAOscar Piastri1:29.132
- 4LECCharles Leclerc1:29.405
- 5NORLando Norris1:29.409
- 6HAMLewis Hamilton1:29.567
- 7GASPierre Gasly1:29.691
- 8HADIsack Hadjar1:29.978
Final classificationiRace result with grid → finish delta (positions gained/lost), pit-stop count, longest stint, and the fastest-lap holder (FL badge).
| P | Driver | Team | Grid | Δ | Time / Gap | Pits | Longest | Fastest lap | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ANTKimi Antonelli |  Mercedes | 1 | 0 | 88:03.403 | 1 | 31L | 1:32.432FL | 25 |
| 2 |  PIAOscar Piastri |  McLaren | 3 | +1 | 0:13.722 | 1 | 35L | 1:32.996 | 18 |
| 3 |  LECCharles Leclerc |  Ferrari | 4 | +1 | 0:15.270 | 1 | 36L | 1:32.634 | 15 |
| 4 |  RUSGeorge Russell | Mercedes | 2 | -2 | 0:15.754 | 1 | 32L | 1:32.549 | 12 |
| 5 |  NORLando Norris | McLaren | 5 | 0 | 0:23.479 | 1 | 37L | 1:33.208 | 10 |
| 6 |  HAMLewis Hamilton | Ferrari | 6 | 0 | 0:25.037 | 1 | 31L | 1:32.777 | 8 |
| 7 |  GASPierre Gasly |  Alpine | 7 | 0 | 0:32.340 | 1 | 31L | 1:33.691 | 6 |
| 8 |  VERMax Verstappen |  Red Bull Racing | 11 | +3 | 0:32.677 | 1 | 31L | 1:33.552 | 4 |
| 9 |  LAWLiam Lawson |  Racing Bulls | 14 | +5 | 0:50.180 | 1 | 31L | 1:34.230 | 2 |
| 10 |  OCOEsteban Ocon |  Haas F1 Team | 12 | +2 | 0:51.216 | 1 | 34L | 1:34.256 | 1 |
| 11 |  HULNico Hulkenberg |  Audi | 13 | +2 | 0:52.280 | 1 | 30L | 1:33.732 | 0 |
| 12 |  HADIsack Hadjar | Red Bull Racing | 8 | -4 | 0:56.154 | 1 | 34L | 1:33.837 | 0 |
| 13 |  BORGabriel Bortoleto | Audi | 9 | -4 | 0:59.078 | 1 | 31L | 1:34.164 | 0 |
| 14 |  LINArvid Lindblad | Racing Bulls | 10 | -4 | 0:59.848 | 1 | 35L | 1:34.314 | 0 |
| 15 |  SAICarlos Sainz |  Williams | 16 | +1 | 1:05.008 | 1 | 31L | 1:34.514 | 0 |
| 16 |  COLFranco Colapinto | Alpine | 15 | -1 | 1:05.773 | 1 | 36L | 1:34.512 | 0 |
| 17 |  PERSergio Perez |  Cadillac | 19 | +2 | 1:32.453 | 1 | 32L | 1:35.637 | 0 |
| 18 |  ALOFernando Alonso |  Aston Martin | 21 | +3 | 0:26.548 | 2 | 29L | 1:36.221 | 0 |
| 19 |  BOTValtteri Bottas | Cadillac | 20 | +1 | 0:42.621 | 1 | 33L | 1:36.269 | 0 |
| 20 |  ALBAlexander Albon | Williams | 17 | -3 | 0:05.067 | 6 | 23L | 1:33.427 | 0 |
| R |  STRLance Stroll | Aston Martin | 22 | +1 | Retired | 2 | 21L | 1:37.217 | 0 |
| R |  BEAOliver Bearman | Haas F1 Team | 18 | -4 | Retired | 1 | 16L | 1:35.604 | 0 |